Market Intelligence MCP Server

Recession probability, capital rotation, macro cascade scenario analysis, investment calculators, and real-time economic data — for Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, and any MCP client.

Powered by the BullrunData API.

Quick Start

Claude Desktop

Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "market-intelligence": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["-y", "@bullrundata/market-intelligence"],
      "env": {
        "BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY": "your-api-key"
      }
    }
  }
}

Claude Code

claude mcp add market-intelligence -- npx -y @bullrundata/market-intelligence

Get Your API Key

Sign up free at bullrundata.com — 100 calls/day, no credit card required.

Available Tools (23)

Recession Intelligence

| Tool | Description | |------|-------------| | recession_probability | Current recession probability (0-95%) from 15-indicator weighted model | | recession_indicators | All model indicators with scores and values | | fed_stance | Federal Reserve policy stance and weight impacts | | market_regime | Market cycle phase (early/mid/late/recession) | | confirmation_status | 4 coincident indicators confirming or denying signals | | sahm_rule | Sahm Rule calculation — predicted every recession since 1970 |

Capital Rotation

| Tool | Description | |------|-------------| | capital_rotation_score | Risk-on/risk-off composite (-100 to +100) from 9 macro instruments | | capital_rotation_instruments | All instruments with prices, signals, and scores | | divergence_alerts | Correlation breakdowns and momentum shifts |

Investment Calculators

| Tool | Description | |------|-------------| | investment_property_analysis | Rental property analysis: cap rate, DSCR, cash flow, 1% rule | | brrrr_analysis | BRRRR deal scoring (0-100) with 70% rule and full breakdown |

Economic Data

| Tool | Description | |------|-------------| | economic_indicator | Any economic indicator by series ID (GDP, CPI, UNRATE, etc.) | | search_indicators | Search available indicators by keyword | | interest_rates | Fed funds, treasury yields, mortgage rates | | inflation_data | CPI, PCE, breakeven inflation, expectations | | employment_data | Unemployment, payrolls, claims, JOLTS | | housing_data | Mortgage rates, starts, permits, home prices | | yield_curve | Yield spreads and inversion detection | | market_sentiment | VIX, financial conditions, stress, consumer sentiment |

Cascade Engine (Macro Scenario Analysis)

| Tool | Description | |------|-------------| | cascade_list | List all 10 macro catalyst scenarios | | cascade_analysis | Full chain reaction for a catalyst with live data enrichment | | cascade_search | Search catalysts by keyword (e.g., "oil", "dollar", "china") | | cascade_by_category | Filter by category: geopolitical, monetary, credit, commodity, currency, structural |

Available Catalysts: Oil Supply Shock, Dollar Liquidity Squeeze, Fed Emergency Rate Cut, US Recession, China-Taiwan Escalation, Yield Curve Inversion, Credit Market Freeze, EM Currency Crisis, Trade War Escalation, Sovereign Debt Crisis

Example Conversations

"What's the current recession risk?"

Claude uses recession_probability and returns:

Current recession probability is 37.9% (moderate risk). Fed stance: neutral. Market regime: mid-cycle. 0 of 4 coincident indicators confirming. Recommendation: Mixed signals require caution. Begin defensive rotation.

"Is this a good time to buy an investment property at $450K?"

Claude uses investment_property_analysis + interest_rates:

At $450K with 20% down at 7%, monthly cash flow is $287. Cap rate: 5.3%. Cash-on-cash: 4.2%. DSCR: 1.18 (healthy). Current 30Y mortgage rate: 6.38%.

"What's the market risk-on/risk-off signal?"

Claude uses capital_rotation_score + divergence_alerts:

Capital rotation score: -3 (NEUTRAL / MIXED SIGNALS). VIX elevated at 27. Gold catching a fear bid. Copper holding — not a structural breakdown. Playbook: quality and diversification over concentrated bets.

"What happens if oil hits $120?"

Claude uses cascade_analysis + capital_rotation_score:

Oil Supply Shock cascade: Dollar demand surges (mechanical) -> Asian FX reserves drain (likely, weeks) -> Asian equity outflows (likely) -> Forced rate hikes in Asia (probable, months). Current capital rotation score: -13 (neutral/mixed). Playbook: inflation hedges (XLE, TIP) and cash reserves. Watch Fed swap line usage for systemic signal.

Configuration

| Environment Variable | Required | Description | |---------------------|----------|-------------| | BULLRUNDATA_API_KEY | Yes | Your API key from bullrundata.com |

Pricing

| Tier | Calls/Day | Price | |------|-----------|-------| | Free | 100 | $0 | | Pro | 10,000 | $29/mo | | Business | 100,000 | $99/mo |

Support

• Website: bullrundata.com
• Docs: bullrundata.com/docs
• Issues: GitHub Issues

License

MIT